The primary objectives of this project are to A) quantitatively assess the potential impacts of natural hazards on installation asset reliability and resilience – buildings, loads, generation, storage, electrical network, and B) simulate how shifts from conventional planning and operations toward coordinated and integrated energy systems (including decentralized and distributed technologies) can create new opportunities for improving resilience during severe weather events like firestorms, heat waves,, and cold snaps that impact mission productivity. 

The technological approach in this project will entail the following: 

I. Simulate current and future demand profiles including the implementation of novel building energy technologies (including envelope and equipment efficiencies).

II. Assess conditions for southwest installations and quantify impact on electrical assets – loads, generation, storage, electrical network, interconnection – to determine vulnerabilities due to enhanced degradation and equipment failure.

III. Create a vulnerability assessment that considers building energy technologies, distribution, natural hazards, and building criticality.

IV. Assess novel building technologies and electrical system innovations to reduce vulnerabilities to natural hazards and prioritize action plans and demonstration projects that enhance resilience.

Significant opportunities exist to support DoW facilities toward pointed investments in critical infrastructure to protect against extreme weather events. Aging infrastructure and the immense cost of rehabilitating infrastructure necessitates new approaches that can provide insights into precisely where and how investments should be prioritized. Toward this end, the modeling framework and assessment of novel technologies that integrate building and grid technology solutions represent a critical competency for DoW and base managers as they plan for future investment. After development, the combined model can be deployed to any DoW facility, provided that basic information on base operations and infrastructure can be produced. (Anticipated Project Completion - 2026)