This project will demonstrate an innovative technology that provides optimized decision support for portfolio energy investment planning to assist energy managers and leadership amidst the many policy guidelines. Specific objectives are to (1) confirm that the technology can be successfully implemented to provide decision makers from installation to enterprise level a clear understanding of the impact of their investment strategies on meeting energy goals and (2) refine the current estimates of required effort and cost of gathering data, adapting models, and performing analysis in support of energy investment decisions. Demonstrations will be conducted at Luke AFB and Davis Monthan AFB in Arizona, as well as at Tinker AFB, Oklahoma.

Technology Description

Boeing’s Energy Security Analysis Tool (ESAT) evaluates, in a single analytic environment, energy efficiency measures, renewable energy and storage choices, and energy surety options to support multi-faceted investment decisions. ESAT uses multi-objective optimization to simultaneously optimize life-cycle cost, initial investment, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, energy savings, available annual budget, renewable energy goals, and energy surety requirements. ESAT provides decision makers the optimal tradeoff envelopes among expenditure, schedule, energy generation and savings, and surety.

The technology demonstration will illustrate how ESAT provides a comprehensive planning solution to meet installation/enterprise mandates and goals, with improved savings compared to current standard approaches. ESAT analyses determine whether current investment rates will be sufficient to meet the goals, and estimate the marginal impact of additional investment. ESAT produces annual investment plans, enabling the energy manager to track progress of infrastructure investments in meeting their annual energy savings, renewable energy, GHG emissions, and mission assurance goals. Enterprise-level multi-objective analysis ensures that investments are made optimally across all installations to meet budget-constrained multi-year enterprise-level energy efficiency and renewable energy goals.

Implementation Issues

ESAT is broadly applicable to all Department of Defense fixed installations for energy investment decision support and energy surety/mission assurance planning. Local, regional, and enterprise energy management decision makers can use ESAT to select optimal sets of energy infrastructure improvement options along with the corresponding budget and schedule that are compatible with their situation. ESAT analyses can be used to track the progress towards various site- and enterprise-level goals and mandates and to uncover gaps in meeting those goals. Based on prior experience, the multi-objective approach can lead to net present value (NPV) improvements of 7% to 47% over current practice. Through integrated analysis of energy efficiency measures to reduce power demand, renewable energy to enable sustainment of the mission without external energy supplies, energy storage to smooth out renewable energy production, and secure smart controls to manage energy surety, ESAT presents the decision maker with optimal portfolio of investments that together contribute to improving mission assurance. (Anticipated Project Completion - 2016)