Demonstrations are sought for severe weather prediction technologies for strategic operational and installation planning at DoW-relevant spatial scales for time horizons of near-term to sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales. Advanced modeling techniques and technologies are needed to increase predictive capabilities for multiple severe weather hazards to provide actionable information for strategic planning.
Proposals should target one of the specific objectives below including demonstrating tools for end users or evaluating advanced prediction technologies for the following topics:
- Compound severe weather events and potential impacts to personnel and/or DoW installation infrastructure on S2S timescales. Of particular interest is evaluating coupled processes or potential cascading impacts from compound weather events to other systems/conditions.
- Snowpack measurement and prediction including measuring and predicting snow depth and water content.
- Lightning detection for airfields and spaceports.
- Extreme precipitation impacts on airfields to include potential impacts to aircraft maintenance, airfield operations, and pavement conditions.
- Boundary layer characteristics including turbulent structures, fog, aerosols, wildfire smoke, visibility, etc. Forecasting rapidly changing conditions, such as the clearing of fog and improving visibility is of particular interest.
Potential end users may include military planners, installation managers, and civilian and military meteorologists.
Improving severe weather prediction technologies enables the generation of actionable information that improves the capability of installations to support the DoW’s mission. Specifically, timely and accurate information on severe weather hazards improves the strategic planning process and enhances installation resilience.
Natural hazards hinder DoW mission readiness and have proven costly to installation infrastructure with billions in damage repair in recent years. Severe weather events are a threat to DoW installations with the potential to disrupt all facets of operations and readiness. Severe weather includes acute hazards such as storms, which bring riverine and coastal flooding, extreme precipitation, lightning, high winds, reduced visibility, and tornadoes. It also encompasses droughts and extreme temperatures such as those experienced during heat waves and polar vortex events. Severe weather can damage critical infrastructure systems and degrade facilities through prolonged exposure to extreme conditions. The resulting impacts include frequent repairs, increased maintenance costs, reduced asset availability, and elevated risks to personnel and the surrounding communities, all undermining mission readiness. Additionally, large-scale events such as hurricanes can lead to staggering recovery costs, underscoring the need for long-term planning and adaptive strategies to enhance resilience.